COVID-19 update: New positive cases in Walworth County nearly double in a week; Significant increases continue at UW-W (UPDATED: Higher positives at UW-W)

By Lynn Binnie
Whitewater Banner volunteer staff
whitewaterbanner@gmail.com
November 8, 2020

  • With a 7-day case incidence as of November 8 of 77.6, Walworth County’s positive cases have essentially doubled in the past week. The county is deeply into the “very high risk” category (which begins at 25) under the Jefferson County model that Whitewater Unified School District (WUSD) is no longer using as guidance. Whitewater’s case incidence, 69.6, is similar to that of Walworth County. Meanwhile, Jefferson County is currently reporting a 7-day case incidence as of November 4 of 72. The statewide case incidence is reported to be 75.7. (Case incidence = daily average new cases per 100,000 people.)
  • The school district had the first two school closings since the gradual return to in-person school, with classes going virtual at Lakeview for 11/5-6 and at the High School on 11/9. WUSD’s current data indicates that since September 1 there have been sixteen positive cases among students and five staff members, a change of one student and two staff members since our report of November 1. In-person classes resumed fulltime for 4K – 5th grade on September 28; grades 6-12 began a hybrid model on October 12, and fulltime in-person classes resumed on November 2.
  • UWWs current data shows that last week there were 70 students and 6 staff with positive PCR tests. This is more than double compared with 24 students and 7 staff in last week’s report. In the initial four weeks of the semester there had been a total of 371 students and 15 others. In the past five weeks there have been 142 students and 15 others with positive PCR tests. Positive results from the rapid antigen tests that are administered to asymptomatic and random volunteers have increased from 1.1% four weeks ago to 1.9% three weeks ago, 3.35% two weeks ago, to 8.15% last week.
  • Per this state website, every county in the state current has a “very high” COVID activity level. Per the state, “COVID-19 remains very contagious and most people in Wisconsin are still at risk of getting sick from the virus.”
  • The majority of new positive cases in Whitewater still appear to be at UW-W; however, it appears there is ongoing community spread in the remainder of the community.

DAILY CASE INCIDENCE PER 100,000 PEOPLE – WALWORTH COUNTY

End DateNew cases/14 daysIncidenceNew cases/7 daysIncidence
9/1552738.840359.2
9/2264847.724536
9/2937927.913419.7
10/530222.217625.9
10/1630822.617625.9
10/2542731.426539.0
11/153339.226839.4
11/879558.552777.6
*

DAILY CASE INCIDENCE PER 100,00 PEOPLE – CITY OF WHITEWATER (WALWORTH COUNTY PORTION)

End DateNew cases/14 daysIncidenceNew cases/7 daysIncidence
9/15345206.8284340.4
9/22419251.1132158.1
9/29180107.94857.6
10/174225.12024.0
10/256136.64554.0
11/17544.93036.0
11/88852.75869.6

TEST POSITIVITY RESULTS – CITY OF WHITEWATER (WALWORTH COUNTY PORTION)

End Date# Tests Reported – 14 days# PositivePositivity %# Tests Reported – 7 days#PositivePositivity %
8/222162712.5%10365.8%
8/29240197.9%128139.2%
9/74217718.3%2746021.9%
9/2095840442.2%57120435.7%
9/2966318027.1%2364820.3%
10/171754224.0%802025.0%
10/253106119.7%1404532.1%
11/12667528.2%1263023.8%
11/82978829.6%1715833.4%

TEST POSITIVITY RESULTS – WALWORTH COUNTY

End Date# Tests Reported – 14 days#PositivePositivity %# Tests Reported – 7 days# PositivePositivity %% of Those with Positive Results Who Reported being Asymptomatic Total Deaths
8/22238627711.6%107111210.5%11.4%25
8/29197221010.6%9019810.9%11.1%27
9/7195322811.7%98612913.1%10.9%32
9/22268964824.1%124924519.6%9.7%34
9/29250437915.1%125513410.7%9.75%35
10/5218930213.8%86417625.6%9.49%35
10/16180330814.6%114217615.4%9.47%36
10/25330442712.9%109726524.2%9.36%38
11/1228953323.3%119226822.5%9.10%39
11/8274879528.9%155652733.9%8.8%
Note: On May 12, 2020 the World Health Organization (WHO) advised governments that before reopening, rates of positivity in testing (ie, out of all tests conducted, how many came back positive for COVID-19) should remain at 5% or lower for at least 14 days. If a positivity rate is too high, that may indicate that the state is only testing the sickest patients who seek medical attention, and is not casting a wide enough net to know how much of the virus is spreading within its communities. Wisconsin’s current positivity rate is 12.8%.

WUSD is providing the following “COVID Tracking Data” on its website at this link.

COVID TRACKING DATA

On September 23, 2020 the WUSD School Board voted to suspend the utilization of a community level metric.

Below is the cumulative and current number of close contact, symptomatic, COVID positive staff and students.

District COVID Tracking Data Sept 1 – November 2 (updated Nov. 3)
CumulativeNov. 2
STAFF
Close Contact Positive Person325
Showing Symptoms371
Tested COVID-Positive52
Total Quarantined Staff74
STUDENTSClose Contact Positive Person 16066
Showing Symptoms25815
Tested COVID-Positive160
Total Quarantined Students434
TotalsNumber of Positive COVID Cases21
Number of Days of School43

UWW has established the following dashboard which provides useful information. It is found at this link.

COVID-19 Dashboard

The COVID-19 pandemic is an ever-changing situation and the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater actively monitors and reviews a series of health, safety, and resource metrics to guide decision-making with regard to university operations. These metrics are considered in combination and consultation with recommendations and orders from the state and county health departments before any changes in operations are made.

Last Updated 11/6/2020 at 10:00 AM

COVID-19 cases reported to UW-Whitewater

New reports – Week of Nov. 1-7Previous weekCumulative reports since March 2020
Students7024516
Employees6729
Other004
Unknown000

Dashboard is updated on business days with available data. Numbers include cases reported through university-coordinated testing, as well as those reported through the COVID-19 Hotline, which may include testing that occurred off-campus through other health clinics/providers. Student employees are counted in the student numbers. The “Other” category is defined as any positive cases reported to UW-Whitewater who are neither students nor employees and may include visitors to the university, contractors or vendors, or others who have been to the university in person.  These numbers represent individuals who have had direct contact with the campuses.  Individuals who are working or attending solely in a remote manner and not living in University Housing are not included.

Regional Metrics


University Health and Counseling Services (10/15-10/29)Walworth County (10/18-10/31)Rock County (10/21-11/3)Jefferson CountyWisconsin (7-day average)
Percent Positive39% (92/236*)16.57%24.6%35.6%32%
Time to complete contact tracing100% of contacts are initiated within 48 hours**82% of contacts are initiated within 48 hours70% of contacts are initiated within 48 hoursNot AvailableN/A
Healthcare system capacity levelNo crisis management of careNo crisis management of careNo crisis management of careNot Available12% Available (Based on Immediate Bed Availability)
Total cases per 100,000n/a545.7
(39 per day)
1051.4
(75.1 per day)
1051.1
(75.1/day)
1060.6
(75.8/day)

*UHCS percentage positive is based on PCR testing performed at the University Clinic site of students only.  Case totals are represented by (Total Positives/Total PCR Tests)

**To avoid duplication, UHCS actively partners with Walworth, Rock, and Jefferson Health Departments.  County Health Departments do tracing of positive cases and UHCS employees do tracing of contact cases. 

Previous 7 days of PCR Tests Administered

PCR* Test Date# of PCR Tests Administered
10/28/209
10/29/2020
10/30/209
11/2/2036
11/3/2026
11/4/2050
11/5/2030

*PCR testing is conducted on symptomatic individuals and individuals with positive Antigen testing results.

Total All PCR Tests# of PCR Negative# of PCR PositivePercentage Positive
121988135528.7%
Antigen* Test Date# of Antigen Tests Administered# of Antigen Negative Results# of Antigen Positive ResultsPercentage Positive
10/28/2020019194.7%
10/29/2010410133.0%
10/30/20676258.1%
11/2/20157143149.8%
11/3/2089791012.7%
11/4/201461252116.8%
11/5/20242222208.3%
Weekly total 1005923828.15%
Total All Antigen Tests418840141734.3%

*Antigen testing is conducted on asymptomatic and random volunteers.

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