COVID-19 update: New positive cases in the city beginning to stabilize but at a “very high risk” level (Updated with higher UW-W count)

By Lynn Binnie
Whitewater Banner volunteer staff
whitewaterbanner@gmail.com
November 1, 2020

  • With a 7-day case incidence as of November of 39.4, Walworth County is well into the “very high risk” category under the Jefferson County model that Whitewater Unified School District (WUSD) is no longer using as guidance. Whitewater’s case incidence, 36.0, is similar to that of Walworth County. Meanwhile, Jefferson County is currently reporting a 7-day case incidence as of October 28 of 71. The statewide case incidence is reported to be 63.7. (Case incidence = average new cases per 100,000 people.)
  • The school district seems to be bucking the trend. WUSD’s current data, indicates that since September 1 there have been fifteen positive cases among students and three staff members, a change of only one student since our report of October 25. This is the second consecutive week with the addition of only one student with a positive case. In-person classes resumed fulltime for 4K – 5th grade on September 28; grades 6-12 began a hybrid model on October 12, and fulltime in-person classes are resuming on November 2.
  • UWWs current data shows that last week there were 24 students and 7 staff (up from 19/6 in the initial report) with positive PCR tests. This is an improvement from 34 students in last week’s report, but an unusually high spike for the staff. In the initial four weeks of the semester there had been a total of 371 students and 15 others. In the past five weeks there have been 97 students and 12 others with positive PCR tests. Positive results from the rapid antigen tests that are administered to asymptomatic and random volunteers have increased from 1.1% three weeks ago to 1.9% last week, and 3.35% this week.
  • Per this state website, Jefferson, Rock, and Walworth Counties all have “very high” COVID activity levels. The state as a whole is currently rated in the “very high” activity level. Per the state, “COVID-19 remains very contagious and most people in Wisconsin are still at risk of getting sick from the virus.”
  • The majority of new positive cases in Whitewater still appear to be at UW-W; however, there clearly is ongoing community spread in the remainder of the city. For example, in the past two weeks there were 75 new cases in the Walworth County portion of the city. UW-W reported 67 cases; however, presumably some of those cases would have been reported in Jefferson County, so there likely were more than 8 new cases among non-UWW persons in the Walworth County portion of the city.

DAILY CASE INCIDENCE PER 100,000 PEOPLE – WALWORTH COUNTY

End DateNew cases/14 daysIncidenceNew cases/7 daysIncidence
9/1552738.840359.2
9/2264847.724536
9/2937927.913419.7
10/530222.217625.9
10/1630822.617625.9
10/2542731.426539.0
11/153339.226839.4
*

DAILY CASE INCIDENCE PER 100,00 PEOPLE – CITY OF WHITEWATER (WALWORTH COUNTY PORTION)

End DateNew cases/14 daysIncidenceNew cases/7 daysIncidence
9/15345206.8284340.4
9/22419251.1132158.1
9/29180107.94857.6
10/174225.12024.0
10/256136.64554.0
11/17544.93036.0

TEST POSITIVITY RESULTS – CITY OF WHITEWATER (WALWORTH COUNTY PORTION)

End Date# Tests Reported – 14 days# PositivePositivity %# Tests Reported – 7 days#PositivePositivity %
8/222162712.5%10365.8%
8/29240197.9%128139.2%
9/74217718.3%2746021.9%
9/2095840442.2%57120435.7%
9/2966318027.1%2364820.3%
10/171754224.0%802025.0%
10/253106119.7%1404532.1%
11/12667528.2%1263023.8%

TEST POSITIVITY RESULTS – WALWORTH COUNTY

End Date# Tests Reported – 14 days#PositivePositivity %# Tests Reported – 7 days# PositivePositivity %% of Those with Positive Results Who Reported being Asymptomatic Total Deaths
8/22238627711.6%107111210.5%11.4%25
8/29197221010.6%9019810.9%11.1%27
9/7195322811.7%98612913.1%10.9%32
9/22268964824.1%124924519.6%9.7%34
9/29250437915.1%125513410.7%9.75%35
10/5218930213.8%86417625.6%9.49%35
10/16180330814.6%114217615.4%9.47%36
10/25330442712.9%109726524.2%9.36%38
11/1228953323.3%119226822.5%9.10%39
Note: On May 12, 2020 the World Health Organization (WHO) advised governments that before reopening, rates of positivity in testing (ie, out of all tests conducted, how many came back positive for COVID-19) should remain at 5% or lower for at least 14 days. If a positivity rate is too high, that may indicate that the state is only testing the sickest patients who seek medical attention, and is not casting a wide enough net to know how much of the virus is spreading within its communities. Wisconsin’s current positivity rate is 12.8%.

WUSD is providing the following “COVID Tracking Data” on its website at this link.

COVID TRACKING DATA

On September 23, 2020 the WUSD School Board voted to suspend the utilization of a community level metric.

Below is the cumulative and current number of close contact, symptomatic, COVID positive staff and students.

District COVID Tracking Data Sept 1 – October 23 (updated October 26)
CumulativeOctober 23
STAFF
Close Contact Positive Person285
Showing Symptoms363
Tested COVID-Positive30
Total Quarantined Staff67
STUDENTSClose Contact Positive Person 11041
Showing Symptoms21556
Tested COVID-Positive153
Total Quarantined Students340
TotalsNumber of Positive COVID Cases18
Number of Days of School39

UWW has established the following dashboard which provides useful information. It is found at this link.

COVID-19 Dashboard

The COVID-19 pandemic is an ever-changing situation and the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater actively monitors and reviews a series of health, safety, and resource metrics to guide decision-making with regard to university operations. These metrics are considered in combination and consultation with recommendations and orders from the state and county health departments before any changes in operations are made.

Last Updated 10/30/2020 at 9:00 AM

COVID-19 cases reported to UW-Whitewater

New reports – Week of Oct. 18 – Oct. 24Previous weekCumulative reports since March 2020
Students2434471
Employees7126
Other014
Unknown000

Dashboard is updated on business days with available data. Numbers include cases reported through university-coordinated testing, as well as those reported through the COVID-19 Hotline, which may include testing that occurred off-campus through other health clinics/providers. Student employees are counted in the student numbers. The “Other” category is defined as any positive cases reported to UW-Whitewater who are neither students nor employees and may include visitors to the university, contractors or vendors, or others who have been to the university in person.  These numbers represent individuals who have had direct contact with the campuses.  Individuals who are working or attending solely in a remote manner and not living in University Housing are not included.

Regional Metrics


University Health and Counseling Services (10/15-10/29)Walworth County (10/13-10/26)Rock County (10/14-10/27)Jefferson CountyWisconsin (7-day average)
Percent Positive32% (42/132*)15.01%16.1%33.9%27.1%
Time to complete contact tracing100% of contacts are initiated within 48 hours**93% of contacts are initiated within 48 hours65% of contacts are initiated within 48 hoursNot AvailableN/A
Healthcare system capacity levelNo crisis management of careNo crisis management of careNo crisis management of careNot Available14% Available (Based on Immediate Bed Availability)
Total cases per 100,000n/a440.5
(31.5 per day)
998.3
(71.3 per day)
847.9
(60.6/day)
891.7
(63.7/day)

*UHCS percentage positive is based on PCR testing performed at the University Clinic site of students only.  Case totals are represented by (Total Positives/Total PCR Tests)

**To avoid duplication, UHCS actively partners with Walworth, Rock, and Jefferson Health Departments.  County Health Departments do tracing of positive cases and UHCS employees do tracing of contact cases. 

Previous 7 days of PCR Tests Administered

PCR* Test Date# of PCR Tests Administered
10/21/2014
10/22/2018
10/23/2010
10/26/2011
10/27/2020
10/28/209
10/29/2020

*PCR testing is conducted on symptomatic individuals and individuals with positive Antigen testing results.

Total All PCR Tests# of PCR Negative# of PCR PositivePercentage Positive
106879029026.9%
Antigen* Test Date# of Antigen Tests Administered# of Antigen Negative Results# of Antigen Positive ResultsPercentage Positive
10/21/2015615332.0%
10/22/20736857.4%
10/23/20737034.3%
10/26/2012612332.4%
10/27/2016215842.5%
10/28/2020019194.7%
10/29/2010410133.0%
Weekly total 894864303.35%
Total All Antigen Tests3,4873,3841033.0%

Previous 7 days of Antigen Testing Administered

Antigen* Test Date# of Antigen Tests Administered# of Antigen Negative Results# of Antigen Positive ResultsPercentage Positive
10/14/20626200.0%
10/15/20696723.0%
10/16/20656500.0%
10/19/2012411776.0%
10/20/2018117742.3%
10/21/2015615332.0%
10/22/20736857.4%
Weekly total730709141.9%
Total All Antigen Tests2,8222,741813.0%
Antigen* Test Date# of Antigen Tests Administered# of Antigen Negative Results# of Antigen Positive ResultsPercentage Positive
10/7/20999811.0%
10/8/20605823.4%
10/9/20606000.0%
10/12/2012312300.0%
10/13/2015915721.3%
10/14/20626200.0%
10/15/20696723.0%
Weekly total63262571.1%
Total All Antigen Tests2,2232,161622.9%

*Antigen testing is conducted on asymptomatic and random volunteers.

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