COVID-19 update: After a month-long decline in new local cases, a significant increase (UPDATED with more UW-W cases)

By Lynn Binnie
Whitewater Banner volunteer staff
whitewaterbanner@gmail.com
October 25, 2020

After a month of declining or stable COVID-19 cases in Walworth County and Whitewater, including UW-W, recent days have seen a reversal of that trend. The city’s incidence now appears to be similar to the statewide average.

  • With a 7-day case incidence as of October 25 of 39.0, Walworth County is well into the “very high risk” category under the Jefferson County model that Whitewater Unified School District (WUSD) is no longer using as guidance. Whitewater’s case incidence, 54.0, is considerably outpacing that of Walworth County. Meanwhile, Jefferson County is also currently reporting a 7-day case incidence as of October 22 of 52. The statewide case incidence is reported to be 54.4. (Case incidence = average new cases per 100,000 people.)
  • The school district seems to be bucking the trend. WUSD’s current data, which indicates that since September 1 there have been thirteen positive cases among students and three staff members, a change of only one student since our report of October 17. In-person classes resumed fulltime for 4K – 5th grade on September 28; grades 6-12 began a hybrid model on October 12.
  • UWWs current data shows that last week there were 34 students (updated from 24 based on Oct. 26 report) and 2 staff/others with positive PCR tests. Although still a considerable reduction from the early weeks of the semester, this is more than double the previous week, when there were a total of 11 positives. In the initial four weeks of the semester there had been a total of 371 students and 15 others. In the past four weeks there have been 73 students and 5 others with positive PCR tests.
  • Per this state website, Jefferson, Rock, and Walworth Counties all have “very high” COVID activity levels. The state as a whole is currently rated in the “very high” activity level. Per the state, “COVID-19 remains very contagious and most people in Wisconsin are still at risk of getting sick from the virus.”

DAILY CASE INCIDENCE PER 100,000 PEOPLE – WALWORTH COUNTY

End DateNew cases/14 daysIncidenceNew cases/7 daysIncidence
9/1552738.840359.2
9/2264847.724536
9/2937927.913419.7
10/530222.217625.9
10/1630822.617625.9
10/2542731.426539.0
*

DAILY CASE INCIDENCE PER 100,00 PEOPLE – CITY OF WHITEWATER (WALWORTH COUNTY PORTION)

End DateNew cases/14 daysIncidenceNew cases/7 daysIncidence
9/15345206.8284340.4
9/22419251.1132158.1
9/29180107.94857.6
10/174225.12024.0
10/256136.64554.0

TEST POSITIVITY RESULTS – CITY OF WHITEWATER (WALWORTH COUNTY PORTION)

End Date# Tests Reported – 14 days# PositivePositivity %# Tests Reported – 7 days#PositivePositivity %
8/222162712.5%10365.8%
8/29240197.9%128139.2%
9/74217718.3%2746021.9%
9/2095840442.2%57120435.7%
9/2966318027.1%2364820.3%
10/171754224.0%802025.0%
10/253106119.7%1404532.1%

TEST POSITIVITY RESULTS – WALWORTH COUNTY

End Date# Tests Reported – 14 days#PositivePositivity %# Tests Reported – 7 days# PositivePositivity %% of Those with Positive Results Who Reported being Asymptomatic Total Deaths
8/22238627711.6%107111210.5%11.4%25
8/29197221010.6%9019810.9%11.1%27
9/7195322811.7%98612913.1%10.9%32
9/22268964824.1%124924519.6%9.7%34
9/29250437915.1%125513410.7%9.75%35
10/5218930213.8%86417625.6%9.49%35
10/16180330814.6%114217615.4%9.47%36
10/25330442712.9%109726524.2%9.36%38
Note: On May 12, 2020 the World Health Organization (WHO) advised governments that before reopening, rates of positivity in testing (ie, out of all tests conducted, how many came back positive for COVID-19) should remain at 5% or lower for at least 14 days. If a positivity rate is too high, that may indicate that the state is only testing the sickest patients who seek medical attention, and is not casting a wide enough net to know how much of the virus is spreading within its communities. Wisconsin’s current positivity rate is 12.8%.

WUSD is providing the following “COVID Tracking Data” on its website at this link.

COVID TRACKING DATA

On September 23, 2020 the WUSD School Board voted to suspend the utilization of a community level metric.

Below is the cumulative and current number of close contact, symptomatic, COVID positive staff and students.

District COVID Tracking Data Sept 1 – October 22 (updated October 23)
CumulativeOctober 22
STAFF
Close Contact Positive Person285
Showing Symptoms353
Tested COVID-Positive31
Total Quarantined Staff66
STUDENTSClose Contact Positive Person 10134
Showing Symptoms20758
Tested COVID-Positive131
Total Quarantined Students321
TotalsNumber of Positive COVID Cases16
Number of Days of School38

UWW has established the following dashboard which provides useful information. It is found at this link.

COVID-19 Dashboard

The COVID-19 pandemic is an ever-changing situation and the University of Wisconsin-Whitewater actively monitors and reviews a series of health, safety, and resource metrics to guide decision-making with regard to university operations. These metrics are considered in combination and consultation with recommendations and orders from the state and county health departments before any changes in operations are made.

Last Updated 10/23/2020 at 9:00 AM

COVID-19 cases reported to UW-Whitewater

New reports – Week of Oct. 18 – Oct. 24Previous weekCumulative reports since March 2020
Students248442
Employees1320
Other104
Unknown000

Dashboard is updated on business days with available data. Numbers include cases reported through university-coordinated testing, as well as those reported through the COVID-19 Hotline, which may include testing that occurred off-campus through other health clinics/providers. Student employees are counted in the student numbers. The “Other” category is defined as any positive cases reported to UW-Whitewater who are neither students nor employees and may include visitors to the university, contractors or vendors, or others who have been to the university in person.  These numbers represent individuals who have had direct contact with the campuses.  Individuals who are working or attending solely in a remote manner and not living in University Housing are not included.

Regional Metrics

University Health and Counseling Services (10/1-10/15)Walworth County (9/29-10/12)Rock County (9/30-10/13)Jefferson CountyWisconsin (7-day average)
Percent Positive29% (36/125*)12.48%15.9%22.3%20.8%
Time to complete contact tracing100% of contacts are initiated within 48 hours**97% of contacts are initiated within 48 hours51% of contacts are initiated within 48 hoursNot AvailableN/A
Healthcare system capacity levelNo crisis management of careNo crisis management of careNo crisis management of careNot Available16% Available (Based on Immediate Bed Availability)
Total cases per 100,000
(14 days)
n/a350.8844.2758.2760.9

*UHCS percentage positive is based on PCR testing performed at the University Clinic site of students only.  Case totals are represented by (Total Positives/Total PCR Tests)

**To avoid duplication, UHCS actively partners with Walworth, Rock, and Jefferson Health Departments.  County Health Departments do tracing of positive cases and UHCS employees do tracing of contact cases. 

Previous 7 days of PCR Tests Administered

PCR* Test Date# of PCR Tests Administered
10/14/206
10/15/204
10/16/201
10/19/2017
10/20/2015
10/21/2014
10/22/2018

*PCR testing is conducted on symptomatic individuals and individuals with positive Antigen testing results.

Total All PCR Tests# of PCR Negative# of PCR PositivePercentage Positive
98774426826.5%

Previous 7 days of Antigen Testing Administered

Antigen* Test Date# of Antigen Tests Administered# of Antigen Negative Results# of Antigen Positive ResultsPercentage Positive
10/14/20626200.0%
10/15/20696723.0%
10/16/20656500.0%
10/19/2012411776.0%
10/20/2018117742.3%
10/21/2015615332.0%
10/22/20736857.4%
Weekly total730709141.9%
Total All Antigen Tests2,8222,741813.0%
Antigen* Test Date# of Antigen Tests Administered# of Antigen Negative Results# of Antigen Positive ResultsPercentage Positive
10/7/20999811.0%
10/8/20605823.4%
10/9/20606000.0%
10/12/2012312300.0%
10/13/2015915721.3%
10/14/20626200.0%
10/15/20696723.0%
Weekly total63262571.1%
Total All Antigen Tests2,2232,161622.9%

*Antigen testing is conducted on asymptomatic and random volunteers.

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